We give real-time recs, you make bets. Using the same example over, if you think -130 which is the best betting strategy the correct probabilities for the Eagles to win and the opposite side has probabilities of +110, we can compute the Agreement No Vig Probabilities"-- aka the price that sportsbooks would certainly supply if they weren't taking a cut.
While +EV wagers won't always win, they must mathematically profit in the long run if you continually bet them. To genuinely understand positive EV betting, you first need to recognize implied probability. In this case, your expected value is 50% as you'll win $1.50 ($2 x 0.75 + $0 x 0.25) over time.
Anticipated value (EV) is just how much your wager is expected to return, generally revealed as a percentage or return on investment (ROI). ROI: The anticipated lasting return on investment based on the +EV wager probabilities and the agreement no vig odds. For example, if you utilize the exact same heavy coin above and call tails whenever, you may lose your very first 2 coin flips, however gradually you'll profit as the outcomes will start converging to tails winning 75% of the moment.
Occasion: The game, time, day, and organization. To locate Positive EV bets (+EV wagers), we check lines from on-line sportsbooks to find mispriced chances and lines that need to return a revenue with time. A favorable EV wager is one that has a favorable anticipated return on investment based upon the chances.