We give real-time recs, you make wagers. Using the very same instance over, if you assume -130 is the proper chances for Safest Betting Strategy the Eagles to win and the opposite has chances of +110, we can calculate the Consensus No Vig Odds"-- also known as the cost that sportsbooks would certainly supply if they weren't taking a cut.
So, if -119 is a fair wager, you are obtaining a lot at -105, creating a Positive EV wager. Most wagers have actually an unfavorable expected worth as a result of the sportsbook's vig. For example, if a sportsbook has a market with 2 sides having -110 chances each, the implied chance of each side winning is 52.38%, according to the probabilities.
Implied likelihood is the opportunity that a wager will win based on the probabilities from the sportsbook. If nearly every sportsbook has the Philadelphia Eagles to win at -130 probabilities however one sportsbook has them at -105, we assume that -130 is the appropriate rate, suggesting there's value at -105.
Event: The video game, organization, time, and day. To find Positive EV wagers (+EV wagers), we keep an eye on lines from online sportsbooks to find mispriced chances and lines that must return a revenue gradually. A favorable EV bet is one that has actually a positive expected return on investment based upon the chances.