We provide real-time recs, you make wagers. Using the exact same example over, if you assume -130 is the correct chances for the Eagles to win and the other side has probabilities of +110, we can compute the Consensus No Vig Probabilities"-- also known as the price that sportsbooks would offer if they weren't taking a cut.
While +EV bets won't constantly win, they must mathematically turn a profit in the future if you continually wager them. To genuinely understand favorable EV betting, you initially have to recognize implied likelihood. In this situation, your anticipated worth is 50% as you'll win $1.50 ($2 x 0.75 + $0 x 0.25) in time.
Expected value (best free positive ev betting tool) is how much your bet is anticipated to return, typically shown as a percent or roi (ROI). ROI: The expected lasting return on investment based upon the +EV bet chances and the agreement no vig probabilities. For instance, if you use the exact same weighted coin over and call tails whenever, you may shed your initial 2 coin turns, yet in time you'll turn a profit as the results will certainly start converging to tails winning 75% of the time.
For example, on a standard 2-way wager with both sides having -110 chances, your expected worth is -4.55% or a loss of $4.55 on a $100 bet. While you won't often find 50% ROI bank on online sportsbooks, it's possible to discover Return of investments ranging from 1% to 10%+ fairly often.