We give real-time recs, you make bets. Using the exact same instance above, if you think -130 is the correct odds for the Eagles to win and the other side has chances of +110, we can determine the Consensus No Vig Probabilities"-- aka the price that sportsbooks would certainly use if they weren't taking a cut.
So, if -119 is negative or positive better for betting a fair bet, you are obtaining a good deal at -105, creating a Favorable EV wager. Most bets have actually an adverse expected value due to the sportsbook's vig. For example, if a sportsbook has a market with two sides having -110 chances each, the implied possibility of each side winning is 52.38%, according to the probabilities.
Expected value (EV) is just how much your wager is anticipated to return, usually revealed as a percentage or roi (ROI). ROI: The expected long-term return on investment based on the +EV wager odds and the agreement no vig probabilities. For example, if you use the exact same heavy coin over and call tails each time, you might lose your very first two coin flips, yet with time you'll make a profit as the results will certainly start assembling to tails winning 75% of the time.
Occasion: The game, time, organization, and day. To find Favorable EV bets (+EV wagers), we keep track of lines from on-line sportsbooks to discover mispriced probabilities and lines that ought to return a revenue in time. A favorable EV bet is one that has a positive expected return on investment based upon the chances.